Author Information
Atika Defita Sari, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia, IndonesiaDidi Suryadi, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia, Indonesia
Dadan Dasari, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia, Indonesia
Jarnawi Afgani Dahlan, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia, Indonesia
Abstract
Probabilistic thinking is an approach to predicting the probability of a situation occurring that utilizes mathematical and logical tools. It is analogous to the ladder of inference, which involves the analysis of relevant prior information, observations, data selection, and reasonable assumptions to facilitate sound decision-making in an uncertain environment. This ability involves both formal and informal knowledge of uncertainty. Formal knowledge, which is acquired in an academic environment such as a school, is a significant component of probabilistic thinking. However, there is a paucity of consensus regarding the materials that build students’ probabilistic thinking ability, hereafter referred to as the probabilistic thinking construct. This construct forms the basis for measuring students’ thinking ability, termed the probabilistic framework. This research systematically synthesizes the extant literature on the subject. A comprehensive review of recent research reveals a large number of studies from which probabilistic thinking frameworks have been designed can be categorized into two groups based on geographical location: The United States and Australia. This literature study research synthesizes those findings, then adapts them to the content and characteristics of the curriculum in Indonesia, known as the Merdeka Curriculum. The analysis revealed three constructs that facilitate probabilistic thinking skills and align with the curriculum’s demands: sample space, probability of an event, and probability comparison.
Paper Information
Conference: ACSS2025Stream: Teaching and Learning
This paper is part of the ACSS2025 Conference Proceedings (View)
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To cite this article:
Sari A., Suryadi D., Dasari D., & Dahlan J. (2025) Probabilistic Thinking Framework in the Context of Indonesian Curriculum: A Literature Study ISSN: 2186-2303 – The Asian Conference on the Social Sciences 2025: Official Conference Proceedings (pp. 63-71) https://doi.org/10.22492/issn.2186-2303.2025.6
To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.22492/issn.2186-2303.2025.6
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